23 December 2009

Government always loses

Let's grant that health care providers are greedy profit-chasers who don't care about providing value to patients. This is only for the sake of argument, because in a free market, in which the only laws regulating businesses are laws against force and fraud, greedy profit-chasing would be synonymous with providing value to patients.

With this assumption in mind, let's turn back the clock to when existing Medicare and Medicaid laws and regulations were enacted. At the time they were enacted, no doubt, policymakers and the voters who think the government is smarter than everyone else by definition probably thought they'd covered everything -- or, at least, that it was better to enact something rather than nothing, and that the "something" enacted would help, not hurt. I mean, NO WAY was it ever the stated intent of any lawmaker or voter to have medical costs spiral out of control, right? And NO WAY policymakers and voters haven't always been aware of, and operating under the assumption that, health care providers are greedy and just in it to make a buck. And, of course, the aim of all government health care policies is to give voters more health care services at less direct cost to voters, meaning policymakers intended for voters to purchase more health care services. The policymakers figured that the laws they enacted would outsmart both health care providers and consumers who might be tempted to "overuse" the health care system.

And costs continued to skyrocket.

But, you say: "the costs skyrocketed because health care providers learned to game the system, to get as much money out of it as they legally could." To which I respond: EXACTLY. Greedy profit-seekers will always be much quicker to find any possibility of profit than government can be to engage in another round of "reform." Every health care provider, and employee of health care provider organizations, can directly benefit from research into the best way to game the system in the way no government fonctionnaire can. And because private decision-making doesn't require Congressional hearings in the House and Senate and cloture debates and amendments and reconciliation committees and avoiding the threat of Presidential vetoes and whatever, health care providers can implement their gaming strategies as soon as they've identified them. And then the health care providers have years of profitting from these strategies, sucking up taxpayer dollars, while lawmakers try to rustle up the political will to do something about it without offending the health care industry lobbyists who are buying them filet mignon.

But all of this is legal. It's GAMING the system, not breaking the law. Health care costs aren't spiraling out of control because of lawbreakers -- they're spiraling out of control because of the actions of law-abiding health care consumers and providers.

Look at the Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit enacted under the most recent President Bush. Costs are spiraling out of control. It's because patients and health care providers figured out how to milk the government cash cow very quickly. Assuming for the sake of argument that more government regulation is the solution to this problem, how long do you think it will take for the government to respond? And then when the government does respond, how long do you think it will take for the potential beneficiaries to figure out how to suck up those new government dollars? Or, alternatively, to decide there just isn't enough profit in health care any more and to start turning away patients and closing up shop?

There is only one option for government if it wants to "win" -- go nuclear, socialize everything outright, and forbid anyone to purchase health care outside of the socialized system. The people on the far left know this, which is why they're desperate to get "single-payer" health reform enacted before their 60-vote supermajority in the Senate vanishes. I would say that, if they succeed, that the joke will be on them. But if they succeed, they will indeed be satisfied, even when the only possible result of socializing medicine occurs -- the destruction of medicine and the complete elimination of access to good healthcare. See my post "Lawmaker, know thyself."

It's an arms race between lawmakers and voters on the one side, and profit-seekers on the other. And in this arms race, the government always loses.

Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.

- Albert Einstein (attributed)

15 December 2009

Lawmaker, know thyself

In our current system, where regulation of business is regarded as constitutional, this is always the message given by lawmakers (a class which includes the voters that elect and tolerate them) to prospective entrepreneurs: "I will allow you to create things that will enhance the value of my life only according to my rules." This works, for the most part, because the most talented producers can figure out a way to make some money even with one hand tied behind their back. And we never learn what we missed by shutting-out of the regulated field the less-talented, but still valuable and productive, entrepreneurs. What values might have been created are lost in the limbo of "out of sight, out of mind."

But what if some entrepreneur simply said, "No, thanks, I don't think I'll make something of value to you on those terms. You'll just have to do without."

First of all, the rule-makers don't acknowledge this possibility. In their experience, people who can make money will always choose to make money; they don't believe that money-makers care HOW the money is made. Lawmakers assume that any "no" is merely positional bargaining, and that all that is needed to get things moving is compromise -- and compromise is all they were hoping for. And in fact, this is how businesses operate today, by means of maintaining relationships with lawmakers and endeavoring to get the lawmakers to point their guns at someone else (see, for example, the use of antitrust laws). Lawmakers do not acknowledge principles; lawmakers figure that a producer will always take the chance to create a million-dollar fortune even if the producer knows that, if things were unregulated, he or she could make ten million. After all, one million is better than nothing! And it's a larger fortune than any lawmaker could ever create.

However, let's assume for the sake of argument that lawmakers have stopped evading facts and have explicitly acknowledged to themselves that producers have free will and can simply say "no." You'd figure this would upset the lawmakers, right? I mean, people need widgets, including lawmakers. No-one wants to "do without" -- isn't that right?

Wrong. We saw the answer to this question in Atlas Shrugged. The lawmakers don't care about making their own lives better. They only care about cutting talented, productive people down to size. The motive is egalitarianism -- equality of result -- no matter how horrible the result.
They do not want to own your fortune, they want you to lose it; they do not want to succeed, they want you to fail; they do not want to live, they want you to die; they desire nothing, they hate existence, and they keep running, each trying not to learn that the object of his hatred is himself . . . .

- The Ayn Rand Lexicon, "Envy/Hatred of the Good for Being the Good"
The response by "reasonable" people to a statement like the quote above from Atlas Shrugged, is: "Don't go to extremes! We need the government to protect us from bad people, but you just want anarchy!"

If this is your objection, I have a thought experiment for you.

Consider a thing, a product, a service, that enhances the value of your life. Let's say it's your iPhone (I have no reason in particular for choosing that example -- I don't own one). Now answer a single question: where did it come from?

Someone invented it, then made it, then offered for sale. You went to work, earned money, and decided to spend some your money on purchasing it.

Unless you made the iPhone yourself, you didn't have a right to a single molecule of that product until you persuaded the person who made it to voluntarily give it to you -- by offering the iPhone producers something they preferred more than hanging on to the iPhone you wanted: your money.

If you don't own an iPhone, but you are glad the thing has been produced and only wish you had enough money to afford it -- and you have no intention of stealing the money in order to afford it -- then I am not talking to you. If, however, you resent this situation; if you think there is something wrong with the fact that whoever chooses to produce a thing owns that thing, and is entitled to retain ownership of that thing until someone persuades him voluntarily to part with it; if you don't think it's fair that someone gets to be rich just because he was able to think up the iPhone, while you weren't able to -- then you are envious, I AM talking to you, and I am describing a matter of fact. An extreme and accurate fact.

I submit that many people will destroy evidence of their own relative incompetence even at the price of wrecking their own lives. They would willingly give up cars and walk to work if they never again had to see a single billionaire chauffered to his private jet in a Bentley. They would smash every iPhone if in return they received a guarantee that everyone else was just as miserable as they were.

I further submit that this motive animates every regulation of business. It is pure resentment that some people are productive and talented enough to provide products and services so valuable that many people are willing voluntarily to pay for them -- and that these producers grow rich as a result of their own competence, effort, and merit.

07 December 2009

A preview of life under universal "coverage"

"Hi Mr. Proprietor," said Mrs. Customer. "I'd like to buy some of your latest and greatest health care!"

"So, sorry," he replied. "But I'm afraid I'm fresh out of health care. My customers cleaned me out of my last health care widgets last month."

"Wow! What happened, did you throw a big sale?"

"Not exactly. I was seeing a ton customers for awhile, it was crazy busy and my hours were ridiculous." He yawned and stretched. "I'm actually exhausted."

"Yes, you do look tired," she said, peering closely at his face. "So why do you think there was a run on your store?"

"Well," he began, scratching his chin, "I suppose it all started right after the government gave people those Medicinos -- you know, that special money that can only be used to buy health care. I guess they're kind of like food stamps."

"That certainly makes sense. I mean, I have lots of Medicinos too, a fistful -- and I am ready to spend! When do you think you'll get some more health care in stock?"

"It's not going to happen. You see, the other big reason for the shopping spree is that all the stores had to reduce their prices or we'd get fined by the government. Same thing happened to my suppliers -- all the health care manufacturers were under price controls, supplies were so cheap, it was great for awhile. But there was a run on all their stock, too. I actually tried to offer some of my manufacturers higher prices so I could get stuff for my best customers, but I was told I'd better shut up about that or I'd get arrested for helping my customers 'jump the queue.'"

Mrs. Customer gasped. "That must have been scary!"

"You bet. Actually, this is my last week in the health care business -- I'm opening a computer store in a few weeks."

"You're kidding!" Mrs. Customer exclaimed. "Well, can you refer me to another store nearby that has some good health care in stock?"

"Gee, that's a tough one," said Mr. Proprietor. "Everyone has pretty much sold everything they had and then closed shop. I heard the government tried to offer one of my manufacturers some special subsidies to stay in business but my contact over there said the subsidies came with so many rules -- and such huge penalties for breaking them, even by mistake -- that she just didn't want to deal with it. As a matter of fact, two of my best suppliers told me they're shutting down their health care factories to start manufacturing smart phones and Blu-Ray players."

"Now wait a minute," said Mrs. Customer, frowning. "The whole problem was supposedly that everyone was looking in the health care store windows but couldn't afford to buy anything -- that's why they gave us all these Medicinos. The experts said there were actually too many health care supplies. So somebody around here must still be making and selling health care."

Mr. Proprietor paused for a moment to consider, and then said, "You know, I think there's one store still open -- "

"Excellent!" Mrs. Customer interrupted. "Can you give me directions?"

"Hang on a minute! You might not want to go. It's about 100 miles away and the owner over there is out of stock, too. You'd have to sign up for her waiting list to buy some health care when she gets her deliveries in a few months. She got special permission from the government to jump to the head of the line when the health care manufacturers have more supplies -- but only if she sells her new stock to the really sick people first. You don't look so bad, so I think you'd be pretty far down on her list."

"But I need to buy some health care now! I've been feeling under the weather and there's a bad flu virus going around!"

Mr. Proprietor shrugged. "I don't know what to tell you. I'm in the same boat, I'm really worried -- I have two kids and I haven't figured where to buy health care, either. I suggest you take a few days off work and wait it out -- hopefully, you just have a bad cold. My mother always gave me chicken soup -- don't laugh, it really works!"

Mrs. Customer stared. Mr. Proprietor stared back.

"So," Mrs. Customer finally said, "You're saying there's really no health care around here to buy, and that my best option is to get on the waiting list 100 miles away and hope I can buy some health care in a few months?"

"I think that's about right. There's just a serious health care shortage and I don't really see an end in sight."

"But how can there be no health care to buy?" Mrs. Customer wailed. "After all, I have comprehensive health insurance and can pay for anything!"

About Me